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Original Research| Volume 109, P36-50, March 2019

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Survival and prognosis with osteosarcoma: outcomes in more than 2000 patients in the EURAMOS-1 (European and American Osteosarcoma Study) cohort

Open AccessPublished:January 25, 2019DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejca.2018.11.027

      Highlights

      • Osteosarcoma is a rare disease, and treatment can only improve with international collaboration.
      • We have assembled prospectively collected data from treatments of all the patients in the intercontinental European and American Osteosarcoma Study-1 protocol.
      • These consistently treated patients provided a strong data set for reporting survival outcomes and reporting on prognostic factors.
      • The trial reaffirms known prognostic factors, and the most adverse factors were metastases and tumours in the axial skeleton.
      • Owing to the large numbers of patients registered, light is shed on some additional factors to be considered. Around seven in ten patients were still alive five years after diagnosis.

      Abstract

      Background

      High-grade osteosarcoma is a primary malignant bone tumour mainly affecting children and young adults. The European and American Osteosarcoma Study (EURAMOS)-1 is a collaboration of four study groups aiming to improve outcomes of this rare disease by facilitating randomised controlled trials.

      Methods

      Patients eligible for EURAMOS-1 were aged ≤40 years with M0 or M1 skeletal high-grade osteosarcoma in which case complete surgical resection at all sites was deemed to be possible. A three-drug combination with methotrexate, doxorubicin and cisplatin was defined as standard chemotherapy, and between April 2005 and June 2011, 2260 patients were registered. We report survival outcomes and prognostic factors in the full cohort of registered patients.

      Results

      For all registered patients at a median follow-up of 54 months (interquartile range: 38–73) from biopsy, 3-year and 5-year event-free survival were 59% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 57–61%) and 54% (95% CI: 52–56%), respectively. Multivariate analyses showed that the most adverse factors at diagnosis were pulmonary metastases (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.34, 95% CI: 1.95–2.81), non-pulmonary metastases (HR = 1.94, 95% CI: 1.38–2.73) or an axial skeleton tumour site (HR = 1.53, 95% CI: 1.10–2.13). The histological subtypes telangiectatic (HR = 0.52, 95% CI: 0.33–0.80) and unspecified conventional (HR = 0.67, 95% CI: 0.52–0.88) were associated with a favourable prognosis compared with chondroblastic subtype. The 3-year and 5-year overall survival from biopsy were 79% (95% CI: 77–81%) and 71% (95% CI: 68–73%), respectively. For patients with localised disease at presentation and in complete remission after surgery, having a poor histological response was associated with worse outcome after surgery (HR = 2.13, 95% CI: 1.76–2.58). In radically operated patients, there was no good evidence that axial tumour site was associated with worse outcome.

      Conclusions

      In conclusion, data from >2000 patients registered to EURAMOS-1 demonstrated survival rates in concordance with institution- or group-level osteosarcoma trials. Further efforts are required to drive improvements for patients who can be identified to be at higher risk of adverse outcome. This trial reaffirms known prognostic factors, and owing to the large numbers of patients registered, it sheds light on some additional factors to consider.

      Keywords

      1. Introduction

      Osteosarcoma is a malignant bone tumour mainly affecting children and young adults. Although osteosarcoma is the most common primary malignant bone cancer, it is a rare disease and has an annual incidence of 3–4 patients per million. The introduction of multi-agent chemotherapy several decades ago improved 5-year event-free survival in localised high-grade osteosarcoma from less than 20% to around 60%. Since then, there have been few evidence-based improvements introduced shown to improve survival [
      • Berner K.
      • Johannesen T.B.
      • Berner A.
      • Haugland H.K.
      • Bjerkehagen B.
      • Bohler P.J.
      • et al.
      Time-trends on incidence and survival in a nationwide and unselected cohort of patients with skeletal osteosarcoma.
      ,
      • Fletcher C.D.
      The evolving classification of soft tissue tumours - an update based on the new 2013 WHO classification.
      ,
      • Isakoff M.S.
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Meltzer P.
      • Gorlick R.
      Osteosarcoma: current treatment and a collaborative pathway to success.
      ,
      • Mirabello L.
      • Troisi R.J.
      • Savage S.A.
      Osteosarcoma incidence and survival rates from 1973 to 2004: data from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results Program.
      ]. The European and American Osteosarcoma Study (EURAMOS) collaboration, initiated by four internationally recognised study groups, was formed to improve outcomes in osteosarcoma by facilitating the conduct of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) [
      • Marina N.
      • Bielack S.
      • Whelan J.
      • Smeland S.
      • Krailo M.
      • Sydes M.R.
      • et al.
      International collaboration is feasible in trials for rare conditions: the EURAMOS experience.
      ]. These groups were the Children's Oncology Group (COG), Cooperative German-Austrian-Swiss Osteosarcoma Study Group (COSS), European Osteosarcoma Intergroup (EOI) and Scandinavian Sarcoma Group (SSG).
      The EURAMOS-1 trial was a risk-stratified randimised controlled trial, investigating treatment optimisation on the basis of histological response to pre-operative chemotherapy. Patients eligible for EURAMOS-1 were aged ≤40 years at diagnosis with localised or metastatic skeletal osteosarcoma in which case complete surgical resection at all sites was deemed to be possible. The extensive international collaboration enabled more rapid accrual than any trial groups could have achieved alone; from April 2005 to June 2011, 2260 patients were registered (enrolled) to the protocol [
      • Whelan J.S.
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Marina N.
      • Smeland S.
      • Jovic G.
      • Hook J.M.
      • et al.
      EURAMOS-1, an international randomised study for osteosarcoma: results from pre-randomisation treatment.
      ].
      The EURAMOS-1 collaboration agreed on a standard of care for osteosarcoma chemotherapy, in which there had been various approaches used. Accordingly, the three-drug combination with methotrexate, doxorubicin and cisplatin following the previous COG trial was defined as standard chemotherapy [
      • Meyers P.A.
      • Schwartz C.L.
      • Krailo M.
      • Kleinerman E.S.
      • Betcher D.
      • Bernstein M.L.
      • et al.
      Osteosarcoma: a randomized, prospective trial of the addition of ifosfamide and/or muramyl tripeptide to cisplatin, doxorubicin, and high-dose methotrexate.
      ,
      • Meyers P.A.
      • Schwartz C.L.
      • Krailo M.D.
      • Healey J.H.
      • Bernstein M.L.
      • Betcher D.
      • et al.
      Children's Oncology G. Osteosarcoma: the addition of muramyl tripeptide to chemotherapy improves overall survival--a report from the Children's Oncology Group.
      ]. Thus, the study cohort represents a large number of patients uniformly treated according to the same protocol.
      The key adverse prognostic factors at presentation for survival in osteosarcoma are presence of metastases, large tumour volume and non-extremity (axial) site of the primary tumour. After surgical resection, response to pre-operative chemotherapy and achievement of surgical remission status are prognostically important [
      • Bacci G.
      • Ferrari S.
      • Bertoni F.
      • Ruggieri P.
      • Picci P.
      • Longhi A.
      • et al.
      Long-term outcome for patients with nonmetastatic osteosarcoma of the extremity treated at the istituto ortopedico rizzoli according to the istituto ortopedico rizzoli/osteosarcoma-2 protocol: an updated report.
      ,
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Kempf-Bielack B.
      • Delling G.
      • Exner G.U.
      • Flege S.
      • Helmke K.
      • et al.
      Prognostic factors in high-grade osteosarcoma of the extremities or trunk: an analysis of 1,702 patients treated on neoadjuvant cooperative osteosarcoma study group protocols.
      ,
      • Janeway K.A.
      • Barkauskas D.A.
      • Krailo M.D.
      • Meyers P.A.
      • Schwartz C.L.
      • Ebb D.H.
      • et al.
      Outcome for adolescent and young adult patients with osteosarcoma: a report from the Children's Oncology Group.
      ,
      • Petrilli A.S.
      • de Camargo B.
      • Filho V.O.
      • Bruniera P.
      • Brunetto A.L.
      • Jesus-Garcia R.
      • et al.
      Brazilian osteosarcoma treatment group S, III, Iv. Results of the Brazilian osteosarcoma treatment group studies III and IV: prognostic factors and impact on survival.
      ,
      • Smeland S.
      • Muller C.
      • Alvegard T.A.
      • Wiklund T.
      • Wiebe T.
      • Bjork O.
      • et al.
      Scandinavian Sarcoma Group Osteosarcoma Study SSG VIII: prognostic factors for outcome and the role of replacement salvage chemotherapy for poor histological responders.
      ,
      • Whelan J.S.
      • Jinks R.C.
      • McTiernan A.
      • Sydes M.R.
      • Hook J.M.
      • Trani L.
      • et al.
      Survival from high-grade localised extremity osteosarcoma: combined results and prognostic factors from three European Osteosarcoma Intergroup randomised controlled trials.
      ].
      Of the 2260 registered patients for EURAMOS-1, 1334 (59%) joined one of the two randomisations [
      • Whelan J.S.
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Marina N.
      • Smeland S.
      • Jovic G.
      • Hook J.M.
      • et al.
      EURAMOS-1, an international randomised study for osteosarcoma: results from pre-randomisation treatment.
      ]. The results of the trial have been previously reported: No evidence was found that either research treatment improved event-free survival, the primary outcome measure [
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Smeland S.
      • Whelan J.S.
      • Marina N.
      • Jovic G.
      • Hook J.M.
      • et al.
      EURAMOS-1 investigators. Methotrexate, doxorubicin, and cisplatin (MAP) plus maintenance pegylated interferon Alfa-2b versus MAP alone in patients with resectable high-grade osteosarcoma and good histologic response to preoperative MAP: first results of the EURAMOS-1 good response randomized controlled trial.
      ,
      • Marina N.M.
      • Smeland S.
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Bernstein M.
      • Jovic G.
      • Krailo M.D.
      • et al.
      Comparison of MAPIE versus MAP in patients with a poor response to preoperative chemotherapy for newly diagnosed high-grade osteosarcoma (EURAMOS-1): an open-label, international, randomised controlled trial.
      ]. The aim of these further analyses is to report outcomes for the whole cohort of eligible registered patients, as timed from diagnostic biopsy. We consider the prognostic impact of factors measured at diagnosis and the impact of response to pre-operative chemotherapy in patients with initially localised disease, timed from surgery.

      2. Methods

      2.1 Patient selection

      The EURAMOS-1 protocol contains two open-label randomised phase III comparisons for patients with high-grade osteosarcoma, split by good and poor histological response to pre-operative chemotherapy, embedded within one overall patient cohort including all those registered/enrolled in the trial. The trial structure, eligibility criteria and patient assessments have been described previously [
      • Marina N.
      • Bielack S.
      • Whelan J.
      • Smeland S.
      • Krailo M.
      • Sydes M.R.
      • et al.
      International collaboration is feasible in trials for rare conditions: the EURAMOS experience.
      ,
      • Whelan J.S.
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Marina N.
      • Smeland S.
      • Jovic G.
      • Hook J.M.
      • et al.
      EURAMOS-1, an international randomised study for osteosarcoma: results from pre-randomisation treatment.
      ]. Patients aged ≤40 years with newly diagnosed osteosarcoma could be registered within 30 days after the diagnostic biopsy. Diagnostic biopsies were examined by an institutional pathologist and reviewed by each study group's reference pathologist. Patients with high-grade localised or metastatic, extremity or axial osteosarcoma deemed to be resectable by their treating team were potentially eligible pending specific criteria. These included adequate performance status; cardiac, hearing, bone marrow, liver and renal function; no history of chemotherapy for previous malignancy and no prior treatment for osteosarcoma. Regulatory approval, ethics approval and consent were obtained according to national requirements before registration. Registration was preferred before treatment started but could be done up to 30 days afterwards.
      All patients were planned for the same pre-operative therapy for 10 weeks consisting of 120 mg/m2 of cisplatin and 75 mg/m2 of doxorubicin (weeks 1 and 6) followed by 12 g/m2 of high-dose methotrexate (weeks 4, 5, 9 and 10). A subset of consenting patients meeting further eligibility criteria were randomised post-operatively based on histological response to pre-operative chemotherapy; overall, 1334 of 2260 (59%) registered patients were randomised [
      • Whelan J.S.
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Marina N.
      • Smeland S.
      • Jovic G.
      • Hook J.M.
      • et al.
      EURAMOS-1, an international randomised study for osteosarcoma: results from pre-randomisation treatment.
      ].
      The aim of the present analysis was to report patient outcomes in two key populations: from biopsy, the full ‘registration cohort’, including all registered patients and excluding any ineligible patients, i.e. those who could be included in the primary end-point analysis; and from surgery, the ‘M0-CSR’ subgroup, which was the subset of the ‘registration cohort’ without baseline metastases and who achieved complete surgical remission (CSR). Surgical remission and margins were taken as reported by the surgeon and pathologist, respectively. We also present outcome data by metastatic status for patients in the ‘registration cohort’. Details are given in Fig. 1.
      Fig. 1
      Fig. 1Flow diagram describing patient cohorts included in the ‘registration cohort’ and the ‘M0-CSR’ groups for analysis. CT, computed tomography; EFS, event-free survival; IQR, interquartile range; EURAMOS-1, European and American Osteosarcoma Study-1.
      We required measures to consistently define non-metastatic (M0) and metastatic (M1) disease in patients across the four trials groups. The COSS, EOI and SSG categorised metastases as ‘no’, ‘possible’ and ‘yes’, whereas COG used only ‘no’ and ‘yes’. To reflect this difference, we grouped together patients with ‘no’ and ‘possible’ metastases as M0 patients, distinct from M1 patients with confirmed metastases by imaging criteria. Patients registered with ‘possible’ metastases, who later record a first event of ‘progression of existing metastases’ rather than ‘new metastases’, were retrospectively reclassified as M1 patients at registration because this ensured that the reporting of progression events was consistent with patient data at registration; the site must already have made this decision.
      The ‘M0-CSR’ group of patients primarily includes patients for whom surgical remission or macroscopic clearance was explicitly reported on the case report form by the surgeon. However, one or both of these data items were missing for some patients, mostly patients who were registered but not randomised for whom the protocol permitted a reduced burden of form completion. If one of these items was reported and the other was missing, the patient was included in the ‘M0-CSR’ group, and providing this information was consistent with the disease status on the first, timely follow-up form. If both data items were missing, the patient was included in the ‘M0-CSR’ group only if the first post-treatment follow-up form stated that the patient was in remission within 1 year of the surgery date. Patients were excluded from the ‘M0-CSR’ group if they had reported an event-free survival (EFS) event before surgery.

      2.2 Outcome measures

      The primary outcome measure was EFS, defined as the time to first event (local recurrence, new metastases, progression of existing metastases, second malignancy, death or a combination of those events) or censoring at last contact. The first event was changed to ‘local progression’ where sites reported ‘local recurrence’ before or without surgery (this applied to 62 patients). Overall survival was defined as the time to death or censoring at last contact. The start time for assessing EFS and survival varies according to the analysis: EFS and survival were timed from the date of diagnostic biopsy for the ‘registration cohort’ and from the date of surgery of the primary tumour (i.e. a landmark approach) for the ‘M0-CSR cohort’.

      2.3 Sample size

      The sample size calculation for the original trial was based on the number required for each of the two separate, post-operative randomisations: 567 good response and 693 poor response patients (N = 1260 total). These, in turn, were driven by the number of EFS events required for the design parameters (as mentioned previously). To randomise 1260 patients, it was initially planned to register around 1400 patients, but because the randomisation rate was lower than that anticipated, the sample size for registration was increased to around 2000 registrations. Therefore, the size of the registered but not randomised patients was substantially larger here than originally envisaged.
      Detailed data on surgery and post-operative chemotherapy were not collected for patients who were registered to the trial but who were not randomised because our main focus was outcomes in randomised comparisons. Follow-up was expected for all registered patients according to the previously described schedules.

      2.4 Statistical analyses

      Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method; Cox multivariate models, stratified by study group (COG, COSS, EOI and SSG), were applied. For all patients, the following variables were included in the multivariate models: tumour site and location within bone (proximal femur/humerus, other limb site or axial skeleton), pulmonary and non-pulmonary metastases status at registration, gender, pathological fracture at diagnosis, age, relative tumour volume (<1/3 or ≥1/3 of the involved bone), histological response to surgery, surgical margins as reported by the pathologist (wide/radical, marginal or intralesional) and World Health Organisation (WHO) classification of sarcoma. Conventional osteosarcomas were split into three groups after central review: osteoblastic, chondroblastic and other. Three age groups were defined according to Collins et al.: child (male: 0–12 years; female: 0–11 years), adolescent (male: 13–17 years; female: 12–16 years) and adult (male: 18 or older; female: age 17 years or older) [
      • Collins M.
      • Wilhelm M.
      • Conyers R.
      • Herschtal A.
      • Whelan J.
      • Bielack S.
      • et al.
      Benefits and adverse events in younger versus older patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy for osteosarcoma: findings from a meta-analysis.
      ]. Relative tumour size was the most commonly missing data item. To address this, we applied multiple imputations, creating 20 data sets with imputed tumour size data to cope with missingness of almost 20% of patients [
      • Bartlett J.
      • Morris T.
      Multiple imputation of covariates by substantive-model compatible fully conditional specification.
      ]. There was no evidence of a difference in survival with either previously reported research treatment; no analyses here are broken by allocated randomised treatment.

      3. Results

      3.1 Baseline characteristics

      Overall, 2260 patients from 17 countries and 325 hospital sites were registered between April 2005 and June 2011 [
      • Whelan J.S.
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Marina N.
      • Smeland S.
      • Jovic G.
      • Hook J.M.
      • et al.
      EURAMOS-1, an international randomised study for osteosarcoma: results from pre-randomisation treatment.
      ]. Seventy-four of these registered patients were either ineligible according to the trial eligibility criteria or unable to be included in the primary outcome analysis: 36 were ineligible after central pathology review (diagnosis other than high-grade skeletal osteosarcoma); 26 were registered later than 30 days after diagnostic biopsy; 8 did not start chemotherapy within 30 days after diagnostic biopsy and the remaining 4 patients were ineligible for other reasons. The remaining 2186 registered patients formed the ‘registration cohort’. In this cohort, median age at biopsy was 14 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 11–17), 59% (1285/2186) were male, 93% (1997/2138) had conventional osteosarcoma and 17% (362/2172) had metastases (Table 1). The primary tumour site was axial skeleton in 5% (106/2172), proximal femur or humerus in 13% (282/2172) and other limb site in 82% (1784/2172) of patients (Table 1).
      Table 1Characteristics at registration for all ‘registration cohort’ patients, split by metastatic status at registration (N = 2186).
      Patient characteristicM0
      includes possible metastases.
      at registration
      M1 at registrationMetastases status at registration not knownTotal
      N%N%N%N%
      Age at registration
      age groups defined according to Collins et al.: child (0–12 for males and 0–11 for females), adolescent (13–17 for males and 12–16 for females) and adult (≥18 for males and ≥17 for females).
       Child536301153264365730
       Adolescent9005016846750107549
       Adult3742179221745421
      Gender
       Male10505823064536128559
       Female760421323696490141
      Site of the tumour
       Proximal femur/humerus2271355150028213
       Other limb site1489822958200178482
       Axial skeleton945123001065
      Missing000014100141
      Location on the bone
       Proximal71239144401785739
       Diaphysis73419500924
       Distal917511845100110150
       Not long bone, n/a1036123001155
      Missing50311393211
      WHO classification of sarcoma at diagnostic biopsy
       Conventional: chondroblastic3031739111734316
       Conventional: osteoblastic10515824668857130560
       Conventional: other29816521453635516
       Telangiectatic84511300954
       Small cell912100111
       High-grade surface2512100271
      Missing40210300502
      Relative tumour volume
       Small (<1/3 of involved bone)84847110301795944
       Large (≥1/3 of involved bone)63835177490081537
      Missing324187521139341219
      Pathological fracture at diagnosis
       No1594883088517190387
       Yes2131254150026712
      Missing30001393161
      Surgical margins achieved
      as reported by the pathologist.
       Wide/Radical135775257711393162774
       Marginal218213490025212
       Intralesional2313100261
      Missing2121268191728113
      Duration of symptoms (weeks)
       Median (IQR)888
       Min–max0–3120–670–312
       N15963241
      data not presented because duration of symptoms is known for only one patient in this group.
      1921
      Total1810100362100141002186100
      IQR, interquartile range; WHO, World Health Organisation.
      a includes possible metastases.
      b age groups defined according to Collins et al.: child (0–12 for males and 0–11 for females), adolescent (13–17 for males and 12–16 for females) and adult (≥18 for males and ≥17 for females).
      c as reported by the pathologist.
      d data not presented because duration of symptoms is known for only one patient in this group.

      3.2 Outcomes from diagnosis (‘registration cohort’: N = 2186)

      The ‘registration cohort’ patients had a median follow-up of 54 months (IQR: 38-73) from diagnostic biopsy, and 45% (974/2186) of patients reported an EFS event. Three-year EFS from biopsy was 59% (95% confidence interval [CI] 57–61%), and 5-year EFS was 54% (95% CI: 52–56%).
      The breakdown of types of first event for the 974 ‘registration cohort’ patients reporting at least one EFS event is shown in Table 2.
      Table 2Summary of types of first event, as reported for the 974 ‘registration cohort’ patients in whom an EFS was reported.
      Type of eventN%
      New metastases52153
      Combination of events14415
      New metastases/progression of existing metastases5840
      Local recurrence/new metastases5236
      Local recurrence/new metastases/progression of existing metastases139
      Other or unknown combination2115
      Progression of existing metastatic disease899
      Local progression748
      Local recurrence707
      Death without any previously reported progression414
      Cause of death attributed to osteosarcoma/treatment
      Or implicitly attributed to osteosarcoma/treatment as death occurred during therapy.
      3278
      Other cause of death922
      Secondary malignancy263
      Unknown event type91
      Total974100
      a Or implicitly attributed to osteosarcoma/treatment as death occurred during therapy.
      Note that the 41 patients in Table 2 with death as the first event without a previously reported progression event are a subset of the overall total of 621 deaths reported within the ‘registration cohort’. Out of these 621 deaths, 84% (524/621) of these were attributed to osteosarcoma; 3% (16/621) to treatment or during therapy (10 within a year of registration; 6 subsequently) and 6% (36/621) to other causes, including second malignancy. The cause of death is not reported for the remaining 7% (45/621). Three-year survival from biopsy was 79% (95% CI: 77–81%), and 5-year survival was 71% (95% CI: 68–73%) (Fig. 2A).
      Fig. 2
      Fig. 2Kaplan–Meier plots for event-free survival and overall survival. (A) Full ‘registration cohort’. (B) Subset of ‘registration cohort’ patients with localised disease at registration (M0).M0 group includes patients with no metastases and possible metastases. (C) Subset of ‘registration cohort’ patients with metastatic disease at registration (M1). (D) ‘M0-CSR’ group, *Note that the number of patients at risk at the time of surgery is smaller for EFS than for OS because some patients had EFS event before surgery. EFS, event-free survival; OS, overall survival.
      For multivariable analyses, 243 of 2186 patients were excluded due to missing data in multiple variables. Out of 412 patients with missing tumour size data, size was imputed for 336 patients. Based on a multivariate model of EFS with 1867 patients from the ‘registration cohort’ recording 762 EFS events (Table 3), poorer EFS was associated with having pulmonary metastases (HR = 2.34, 95% CI: 1.95–2.81) or non-pulmonary metastases (HR = 1.94, 95% CI: 1.38–2.73) at diagnosis, compared to having no metastases; having an axial skeleton tumour site (HR = 1.53, 95% CI: 1.10–2.13) or proximal femur/humerus tumour site (HR = 1.50, 95% CI: 1.22–1.84) compared to other limb site; being adult (HR = 1.32, 95% CI: 1.07–1.63) or adolescent (HR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.05–1.48) compared to being a child; being male compared to female (HR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.03–1.39) and having large relative tumour volume compared to small (HR = 1.29, 95% CI: 1.09–1.51). Improved EFS was associated with telangiectatic (HR = 0.52, 95% CI: 0.33–0.80), high-grade surface (HR 0.44, 95% CI: 0.19–0.99) and conventional unspecified subtype (HR = 0.67, 95% CI: 0.52–0.88) classifications, compared to chondroblastic. A model excluding the imputed tumour size data for 336 patients shows similar HRs as the model with the imputed data included. The CIs were broader in this model (due to fewer patients), but the interpretation is the same (Appendix Table 1).
      Table 3Cox model for event-free survival (timed from diagnostic biopsy) for all ‘registration cohort’ patients, N = 1867.
      CharacteristicNEFS eventsAdjusted HR (95% CI)p-valueOverall p-value
      Pulmonary metastases
       No metastases
      includes possible metastases.
      16336071.00n/a<0.001
       Metastases2341552.34 (1.95–2.81)<0.001
      Other metastases
       No metastases18097241.00n/a<0.001
       Metastases58381.94 (1.38–2.73)<0.001
      Site of the tumour
       Other limb site15625961.00n/a<0.001
       Proximal femur/humerus2341241.50 (1.22–1.84)<0.001
       Axial skeleton71421.53 (1.10–2.13)0.011
      WHO classification of sarcoma at diagnosis
       Conventional: chondroblastic3001441.00n/a0.002
       Conventional: osteoblastic11544840.85 (0.71–1.03)0.101
       Conventional: other293990.67 (0.52–0.88)0.003
       Telangiectatic86240.52 (0.33–0.80)0.003
       Small cell1051.48 (0.60–3.64)0.389
       High-grade surface2460.44 (0.19–0.99)0.047
      Age
       Child5572011.00n/a0.015
       Adolescent9213881.25 (1.05–1.48)0.013
       Adult3891731.32 (1.07–1.63)0.008
      Gender
       Female7612881.00n/a0.017
       Male11064741.20 (1.03–1.39)0.017
      Relative tumour volume
      336 missing values imputed.
       Small (<1/3 of involved bone)8513071.00n/a0.002
       Large (≥1/3 of involved bone)6803331.29 (1.09–1.51)0.002
      Pathological fracture at diagnosis
       No16456691.00n/a0.966
       Yes222931.00 (0.80–1.26)0.966
      Surgical margins achieved
      as reported by the pathologist.
       Wide/Radical15936361.00n/a0.262
       Marginal2491101.03 (0.82–1.30)0.797
       Intralesional25161.54 (0.92–2.59)0.102
      CI, confidence interval; EFS, event-free survival; HR, hazard ratio; WHO, World Health Organisation.
      a includes possible metastases.
      b 336 missing values imputed.
      c as reported by the pathologist.
      An additional model with the same patient cohort using overall survival as the outcome demonstrated a similar prognosis impact from each of these factors (Appendix Table 2). The CIs around the estimates are broader for the OS model than those for the EFS model because there are fewer deaths than EFS events.

      3.3 Outcomes from diagnosis by baseline metastases (‘registration cohort’: N = 2186)

      Of the ‘registration cohort’, 1810 of 2186 (83%) of the patients were registered with localised disease (M0), 362 of 2186 (17%) were M1 and metastasis status was not reported for 14 of 2186 (<1%). There were 711 EFS events reported in the M0 patient subset (Table 1). For these M0 patients, 3-year EFS from biopsy was 65% (95% CI: 63–67%), and 5-year EFS from biopsy was 60% (95% CI: 57–62%). With a median follow-up of 56 months, 422 deaths were reported in these patients with localised disease, with 3-year survival from biopsy 84% (95% CI: 82–86%) and 5-year survival from biopsy 76% (95% CI: 74–78%) (Fig. 2B).
      For the 362 of 2186 (17%) M1 patients at presentation, the median follow-up was 47 months, and 254 patients reported an EFS event. Three-year EFS from biopsy was 32% (95% CI: 27–37%), and 5-year EFS from biopsy was 28% (95% CI: 23–33%). A total of 194 deaths were reported; 3-year survival from biopsy was 56% (95% CI: 50–61%), and 5-year survival from biopsy was 45% (95% CI: 39–50%) (Fig. 2C).
      The risk of an EFS event was highest around the second year after diagnosis for both M1 and M0 patients. The hazard of event then declines and reaches the same lower level for both M1 and M0 patients four years after diagnosis, but risk continues (Fig. 3).
      Fig. 3
      Fig. 3Hazard of event-free survival (EFS) from diagnostic biopsy for all ‘registration cohort’ patients, plotted by metastatic status at registration. Note: non-COG patients categorised at registration as having ‘possible’ metastases are included in the M0 category. Shaded area shows 95% CI around estimates. CI, confidence interval; COG, Children's Oncology Group.

      3.4 Outcomes from surgery (‘M0-CSR’ group, N = 1549)

      Of the patients registered with localised disease (M0), 1549 of 1810 (86%) M0 patients were considered to have evidence of CSR (‘M0-CSR’ group). These patients had a median follow-up time from surgery of 57 months (IQR: 39-74) with 545 patients reporting an EFS event; 3-year EFS from surgery was 70% (95% CI: 67–72%), and 5-year EFS from surgery was 64% (95% CI: 61–66%). There were 308 deaths reported; 3-year survival from surgery was 88% (95% CI: 86–89%), and 5-year survival from surgery was 79% (95% CI: 77–81%).
      In the ‘M0-CSR’ group, 1395 of 1549 (90%) patients were included in the multivariate model of EFS (Table 4); missing tumour volume was imputed for 240 of these patients. Poor histological response to chemotherapy was strongly associated with poorer EFS than a good histological response (HR = 2.13, 95% CI: 1.76–2.58). Poorer EFS was also associated with tumour site on the proximal femur or humerus than other limb site (HR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.06–1.80) and being adult (HR = 1.53, 95% CI: 1.17–1.99) or adolescent (HR = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.14–1.79) compared to being a child. There was some limited evidence that having a conventional unspecified subtype osteosarcoma classification as opposed to chondroblastic was associated with improved EFS (HR = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.52–0.96); however, pathology overall was not a statistically significant variable in the model (P = 0.157; Table 4). Appendix Table 3 shows survival for the ‘M0-CSR’ group; the interpretation of the prognostic factors is similar to the EFS model for this patient group.
      Table 4Cox model for event-free survival (timed from surgery) for all ‘M0-CSR’ patients (N = 1395).
      CharacteristicNEFS eventsAdjusted HR (95% CI)p-valueOverall p-value
      Site of the tumour
       Other limb site11753821.00n/a0.039
       Proximal femur/humerus166721.38 (1.06–1.80)0.018
       Axial skeleton54271.29 (0.86–1.95)0.214
      WHO classification of sarcoma at diagnosis
       Conventional: chondroblastic2401031.00n/a0.157
       Conventional: osteoblastic8302840.91 (0.72–1.14)0.408
       Conventional: other230690.71 (0.52–0.96)0.029
       Telangiectatic69180.71 (0.42–1.20)0.199
       Small cell620.79 (0.19–3.20)0.737
       High-grade surface2050.45 (0.18–1.12)0.086
      Age
       Child4091101.00n/a0.003
       Adolescent6892501.43 (1.14–1.79)0.002
       Adult2971211.53 (1.17–1.99)0.002
      Gender
       Female5861891.00n/a0.071
       Male8092921.19 (0.99–1.43)0.071
      Relative tumour volume
      240 missing values imputed.
       Small (<1/3 of the involved bone)6792141.00n/a0.046
       Large (≥1/3 of the involved bone)4761971.24 (1.00–1.52)0.046
      Pathological fracture at diagnosis
       No12354261.00n/a0.783
       Yes160550.96 (0.71–1.29)0.783
      Surgical margins achieved
      as reported by the pathologist.
       Wide/Radical12004031.00n/a0.201
       Marginal182711.11 (0.83–1.49)0.482
       Intralesional1371.98 (0.91–4.30)0.083
      Histological response
       Good (<10% viable tumour)7241761.00n/a<0.001
       Poor (≥10% viable tumour)6713052.13 (1.76–2.58)<0.001
      CI, confidence interval; EFS, event-free survival; HR, hazard ratio; WHO, World Health Organisation.
      a 240 missing values imputed.
      b as reported by the pathologist.

      4. Discussion

      The EURAMOS-1 is the largest osteosarcoma trial performed to date. Of the 2260 patients registered to the protocol, 2186 were eligible for this cohort analysis. The large number of patients and the broad eligibility criteria of patients with operable osteosarcoma, which include patients with axial or metastatic disease, extend the relevance of our findings compared to most other osteosarcoma trials [
      • Meyers P.A.
      • Schwartz C.L.
      • Krailo M.
      • Kleinerman E.S.
      • Betcher D.
      • Bernstein M.L.
      • et al.
      Osteosarcoma: a randomized, prospective trial of the addition of ifosfamide and/or muramyl tripeptide to cisplatin, doxorubicin, and high-dose methotrexate.
      ,
      • Meyers P.A.
      • Schwartz C.L.
      • Krailo M.D.
      • Healey J.H.
      • Bernstein M.L.
      • Betcher D.
      • et al.
      Children's Oncology G. Osteosarcoma: the addition of muramyl tripeptide to chemotherapy improves overall survival--a report from the Children's Oncology Group.
      ,
      • Smeland S.
      • Muller C.
      • Alvegard T.A.
      • Wiklund T.
      • Wiebe T.
      • Bjork O.
      • et al.
      Scandinavian Sarcoma Group Osteosarcoma Study SSG VIII: prognostic factors for outcome and the role of replacement salvage chemotherapy for poor histological responders.
      ,
      • Ferrari S.
      • Ruggieri P.
      • Cefalo G.
      • Tamburini A.
      • Capanna R.
      • Fagioli F.
      • et al.
      Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with methotrexate, cisplatin, and doxorubicin with or without ifosfamide in nonmetastatic osteosarcoma of the extremity: an Italian sarcoma group trial ISG/OS-1.
      ,
      • Fuchs N.
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Epler D.
      • Bieling P.
      • Delling G.
      • Korholz D.
      • et al.
      Long-term results of the co-operative German-Austrian-Swiss osteosarcoma study group's protocol COSS-86 of intensive multidrug chemotherapy and surgery for osteosarcoma of the limbs.
      ].
      A three-drug MAP combination, based on COG's INT-0133 trial, was agreed upon as standard therapy for the EURAMOS-1 [
      • Meyers P.A.
      • Schwartz C.L.
      • Krailo M.
      • Kleinerman E.S.
      • Betcher D.
      • Bernstein M.L.
      • et al.
      Osteosarcoma: a randomized, prospective trial of the addition of ifosfamide and/or muramyl tripeptide to cisplatin, doxorubicin, and high-dose methotrexate.
      ,
      • Meyers P.A.
      • Schwartz C.L.
      • Krailo M.D.
      • Healey J.H.
      • Bernstein M.L.
      • Betcher D.
      • et al.
      Children's Oncology G. Osteosarcoma: the addition of muramyl tripeptide to chemotherapy improves overall survival--a report from the Children's Oncology Group.
      ]. Here, the 5-year EFS and survival from diagnosis for all eligible patients were 54% and 71%, respectively. For patients with localised disease, the 5-year EFS (60%) and survival (76%) were comparable to previously reported osteosarcoma studies in patients with tumours entirely or mostly located in extremities, conducted by the founding members of the EURAMOS-1 [
      • Meyers P.A.
      • Schwartz C.L.
      • Krailo M.
      • Kleinerman E.S.
      • Betcher D.
      • Bernstein M.L.
      • et al.
      Osteosarcoma: a randomized, prospective trial of the addition of ifosfamide and/or muramyl tripeptide to cisplatin, doxorubicin, and high-dose methotrexate.
      ,
      • Meyers P.A.
      • Schwartz C.L.
      • Krailo M.D.
      • Healey J.H.
      • Bernstein M.L.
      • Betcher D.
      • et al.
      Children's Oncology G. Osteosarcoma: the addition of muramyl tripeptide to chemotherapy improves overall survival--a report from the Children's Oncology Group.
      ,
      • Smeland S.
      • Muller C.
      • Alvegard T.A.
      • Wiklund T.
      • Wiebe T.
      • Bjork O.
      • et al.
      Scandinavian Sarcoma Group Osteosarcoma Study SSG VIII: prognostic factors for outcome and the role of replacement salvage chemotherapy for poor histological responders.
      ,
      • Fuchs N.
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Epler D.
      • Bieling P.
      • Delling G.
      • Korholz D.
      • et al.
      Long-term results of the co-operative German-Austrian-Swiss osteosarcoma study group's protocol COSS-86 of intensive multidrug chemotherapy and surgery for osteosarcoma of the limbs.
      ]. Other study groups using different 3- or 4-drug schedules from these same active drugs have reported similar results as the EURAMOS-1 [
      • Ferrari S.
      • Ruggieri P.
      • Cefalo G.
      • Tamburini A.
      • Capanna R.
      • Fagioli F.
      • et al.
      Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with methotrexate, cisplatin, and doxorubicin with or without ifosfamide in nonmetastatic osteosarcoma of the extremity: an Italian sarcoma group trial ISG/OS-1.
      ,
      • Le Deley M.C.
      • Guinebretiere J.M.
      • Gentet J.C.
      • Pacquement H.
      • Pichon F.
      • Marec-Berard P.
      • et al.
      SFOP OS94: a randomised trial comparing preoperative high-dose methotrexate plus doxorubicin to high-dose methotrexate plus etoposide and ifosfamide in osteosarcoma patients.
      ]. The patients with metastatic disease recruited to this trial were selected on the condition that the disease was resectable at all sites; 17% of patients were considered to have metastases at diagnosis. In this selected cohort, the reported 5-year EFS from diagnosis of 28% compares well to previous results reported from unselected cohorts of patients with any metastases [
      • Kager L.
      • Zoubek A.
      • Potschger U.
      • Kastner U.
      • Flege S.
      • Kempf-Bielack B.
      • et al.
      Cooperative German-Austrian-Swiss Osteosarcoma Study G. Primary metastatic osteosarcoma: presentation and outcome of patients treated on neoadjuvant Cooperative Osteosarcoma Study Group protocols.
      ] or patients with only lung metastases [
      • Bacci G.
      • Rocca M.
      • Salone M.
      • Balladelli A.
      • Ferrari S.
      • Palmerini E.
      • et al.
      High grade osteosarcoma of the extremities with lung metastases at presentation: treatment with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and simultaneous resection of primary and metastatic lesions.
      ] but remains unacceptably low. However, comparison to historical data should be made with caution due to the stage shift over the last decades with more patients recorded with primary metastatic disease, probably related to refined imaging techniques. Historically, 10–15% of patients with osteosarcoma are reported to have primary metastatic disease, less than the 17% in this selected cohort excluding patients with deemed non-resectable metastatic disease at presentation [
      • Meyers P.A.
      • Heller G.
      • Healey J.H.
      • Huvos A.
      • Applewhite A.
      • Sun M.
      • et al.
      Osteogenic sarcoma with clinically detectable metastasis at initial presentation.
      ]. For patients in CSR at all sites (a status achieved 3–6 months after diagnosis), the 5-year EFS and overall survival from biopsy were 64% and 79%, respectively. An important message for patients is that after successful surgery, nearly 4 out of 5 are alive five years from diagnosis and the risk of relapse decreases over time.
      The model including prognostic factors available at diagnosis confirmed previously reported results on the impact of metastases, site and tumour size with the strongest impact from the presence of metastases at presentation [
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Kempf-Bielack B.
      • Delling G.
      • Exner G.U.
      • Flege S.
      • Helmke K.
      • et al.
      Prognostic factors in high-grade osteosarcoma of the extremities or trunk: an analysis of 1,702 patients treated on neoadjuvant cooperative osteosarcoma study group protocols.
      ,
      • Janeway K.A.
      • Barkauskas D.A.
      • Krailo M.D.
      • Meyers P.A.
      • Schwartz C.L.
      • Ebb D.H.
      • et al.
      Outcome for adolescent and young adult patients with osteosarcoma: a report from the Children's Oncology Group.
      ,
      • Whelan J.S.
      • Jinks R.C.
      • McTiernan A.
      • Sydes M.R.
      • Hook J.M.
      • Trani L.
      • et al.
      Survival from high-grade localised extremity osteosarcoma: combined results and prognostic factors from three European Osteosarcoma Intergroup randomised controlled trials.
      ]. Tumour size is a factor of prognostic interest and is likely dependent on many interconnected factors, including the site (which bone) of the tumour and the size of the patient. Relative tumour size was missing for 412 of the patients. We therefore applied a model in which relative tumour size was imputed if missing, based on data available from all otherwise-eligible patients in the models.
      Telangiectatic pathology is relatively uncommon among osteosarcoma subtypes [
      • Angelini A.
      • Mavrogenis A.F.
      • Trovarelli G.
      • Ferrari S.
      • Picci P.
      • Ruggieri P.
      Telangiectatic osteosarcoma: a review of 87 cases.
      ], here constituting 4.5% of the cases. We observed that the telangiectatic subtype had a more favourable prognosis than osteoblastic osteosarcoma. This has previously been reported in univariate analyses in a small series of 28 patients [
      • Bacci G.
      • Picci P.
      • Ferrari S.
      • Sangiorgi L.
      • Zanone A.
      • Brach del Prever A.
      Primary chemotherapy and delayed surgery for non-metastatic telangiectatic osteosarcoma of the extremities. Results in 28 patients.
      ]. Our findings reflect the strength of large series, such as EURAMOS, internationally recruiting many patients which increase the absolute numbers of patients in the series with very rare subgroups, such as telangiectatic osteosarcoma.
      We report a statistically significant association between both age and gender on the risk for event. This is in accordance with a meta-analysis including 4838 patients with osteosarcoma in trials and series (not including EURAMOS-1) in which both age and gender were associated with survival, with more favourable outcomes for younger patients and females [
      • Marina N.M.
      • Smeland S.
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Bernstein M.
      • Jovic G.
      • Krailo M.D.
      • et al.
      Comparison of MAPIE versus MAP in patients with a poor response to preoperative chemotherapy for newly diagnosed high-grade osteosarcoma (EURAMOS-1): an open-label, international, randomised controlled trial.
      ]. For both age groups (child vs adult) and gender, the reported HRs were very similar to the reported values in this study. Thus, a conclusion from these two large series is that there is a significant but modest correlation of both age and gender on survival in osteosarcoma.
      Previous attempts to stratify up-front treatment for good (small tumour volume) and poor (metastatic or axial location) prognostic factors have not yet led to improved outcomes [
      • Bielack S.
      • Jurgens H.
      • Jundt G.
      • Kevric M.
      • Kuhne T.
      • Reichardt P.
      • et al.
      Osteosarcoma: the COSS experience.
      ,
      • Boye K.
      • Del Prever A.B.
      • Eriksson M.
      • Saeter G.
      • Tienghi A.
      • Lindholm P.
      • et al.
      High-dose chemotherapy with stem cell rescue in the primary treatment of metastatic and pelvic osteosarcoma: final results of the ISG/SSG II study.
      ]. We observed a prognostic impact of histological subtypes (i.e. telangiectatic, high-grade surface and unspecified conventional), consistent with other series but with a different impact from osteosarcoma subtypes on prognosis and in series utilising other chemotherapy regimens [
      • Bacci G.
      • Longhi A.
      • Versari M.
      • Mercuri M.
      • Briccoli A.
      • Picci P.
      Prognostic factors for osteosarcoma of the extremity treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy: 15-year experience in 789 patients treated at a single institution.
      ,
      • Hauben E.I.
      • Weeden S.
      • Pringle J.
      • Van Marck E.A.
      • Hogendoorn P.C.
      Does the histological subtype of high-grade central osteosarcoma influence the response to treatment with chemotherapy and does it affect overall survival? A study on 570 patients of two consecutive trials of the European Osteosarcoma Intergroup.
      ]. Together, the data suggest biological differences between subtypes; however, prospective trials to test if up-front therapy should be directed by subtype are difficult to conduct because of the rarity of many subtypes.
      We performed a prognostic factor analysis adding treatment-related factors. An eligibility criterion for recruitment to the EURAMOS-1 was that surgery with macroscopic clearance was deemed to be possible at all sites. Histologic response was added to the EFS model in addition to the factors at diagnosis. The risk of a subsequent EFS event was more than doubled in patients with poor response to pre-operative chemotherapy. In the COSS report on 1702 consecutive, unselected patients with osteosarcoma including patients with tumour of the extremity and trunk and also patients with metastases at presentation, an HR of 2.4 was reported, similar to the 2.18 in our cohort [
      • Bielack S.S.
      • Kempf-Bielack B.
      • Delling G.
      • Exner G.U.
      • Flege S.
      • Helmke K.
      • et al.
      Prognostic factors in high-grade osteosarcoma of the extremities or trunk: an analysis of 1,702 patients treated on neoadjuvant cooperative osteosarcoma study group protocols.
      ]. Age and tumour site retained their prognostic impact in this model, but there was no good evidence of an impact from gender. Fewer patients were included in this analysis than in the model with all registered patients with localised disease, but the HR reductions, for tumour site (i.e. axial skeleton) and size, probably reflect the more challenging surgery for these tumours and not that the poor prognosis reflect a more aggressive biology.
      One limitation of the current report is that it focuses on patients with resectable disease, set up to facilitate recruitment to two specific randomisations. It is likely that those with unresectable disease have a less favourable outlook. Another limitation is missing information on those patients not randomised, which prevented investigation by treatment actually received. To facilitate efforts towards the randomised comparisons and to anticipate that most patients would be randomised, the EURAMOS-1 team did not prospectively collect details of the post-operative phase of treatment, including surgery for metastatic disease and histological response for all these patients. Therefore, there is some selection bias in the models.
      The EURAMOS-1 has already demonstrated that large international trials are feasible with no impairment of the quality of care for the patients. Together with the results from the EURAMOS-1 trial based on the randomised patients, we consider the current MAP regimen as a standard chemotherapy in high-grade osteosarcoma in patients aged <40 years, but note that further efforts are required to drive improvements. With the EURAMOS-1 protocol, four collaborating study groups have established a standard for evaluation and treatment of patients with osteosarcoma and a unique platform for further studies; the important matter will be to identify and develop the next appropriate trial.
      In conclusion, nearly 4 out of every 5 patients with non-metastatic osteosarcoma who have all disease resected are alive five years later, and the risk of relapse appears to decrease over time. The reported prognostic factors in this large cohort reinforces the impact of known prognostic factors and adds information only achievable from large studies.

      Role of the funding source

      The study sponsor was the UK Medical Research Council in Europe and the U.S. National Cancer Institute in North America and Australia. Each trial group organised local coordination elements; central coordination and analysis was led from MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL. Neither the sponsors nor the funders of the trial had a role in trial design, data analysis or data interpretation.
      The EURAMOS-1 is an academic clinical trial funded through multiple national and international government agencies and cancer charities:
      • National Cancer Institute, USA provides funding to the Children's Oncology Group (N America, Australasia and Switzerland) Grant U10CA180886
      • European Science Foundation (ESF) under the EUROCORES Program European Clinical Trials (ECT), through contract No. ERASCT-2003-980409 of the European Commission, DG Research, FP6 (Ref No MM/NG/EMRC/0202)
      • National funding in Europe:
        • Belgium: FNRS (Fonds National de la Recherche Scientifique) BelgiumFWO (Fonds voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek-Vlaanderen
        • Denmark: Danish Medical Research Council
        • Finland: Academy of Finland
        • Germany: DFG ref No: BI 1045/1-1 & 1–2, DKH ref No: 50-2723-Bi2
        • Hungary: Semelweis Foundation
        • Netherlands: ZonMw (Council for Medical Research)
        • Norway: Research Council of Norway
        • Sweden: Scandinavian Sarcoma Group
        • Switzerland: Swiss Paediatric Oncology Group (SPOG)
        • United Kingdom: includes funding for the trial co-ordinating data centre (MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL): Cancer Research UK, CRUK/05/013, Medical Research Council: MC_UU_12023/28
      Additional funding to the University of Muenster Centre for Clinical Trials, site of the EURAMOS Intergroup Safety Desk: Federal Ministry of Education and Research, Germany, BMBF 01KN1105.

      Conflict of interest statement

      The following authors report the following possible conflicts of interest. All others have none to report.
      Dr. Bielack reports grants from Deutsche Krebshilfe, Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft and European Science Foundation during the conduct of the study and personal fees from Lilly, Bayer, Pfizer, Novartis, Isofol and Clinigen, outside the submitted work. P.R. reports grants and personal fees from Novartis and personal fees from Pfizer, Bayer, PharmaMar, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Clinigen, Lilly and Deciphera, outside the submitted work. Dr Teot reports work under consideration for publication and COG subcontractor fees for pathology review, outside the submitted work. Dr Gebhardt reports other support from Clinical Orthopaedics and Related Research and other fees from Up-to-date, outside of the submitted work. Dr Meyers reports stock or other ownership in Amgen, Bayer, Dupont, Henry Schein, Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Mednax, Novartis, Procter and Gamble and Sigma–Aldrich; honoraria from France Foundation and personal fees from Takeda Pharmaceuticals, Medison and InterMune, outside the submitted work. Dr. Lessnick serves as a member of the Scientific Advisory Board for Salarius Pharmaceuticals, a company involved in cancer therapy development outside of the submitted work. Dr. Butterfass-Bahloul reports grants from the Federal Ministry of Education and Research, Germany, other support from European Science Foundation (ESF) under the EUROCORES Program European Clinical Trials (ECT), other from Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG), during the conduct of the study. Dr. Marina reports other from Five Prime Therapeutics, outside the submitted work.

      Acknowledgements

      The authors thank Tim Morris for input on multiple imputation and Babasola Popoola and Karen Sanders for trial management expertise at MRC CTU at UCL. We are grateful to every patient who choose to join this research project and to their families and friends who supported them; medical research relies on people willing to volunteer.

      Appendix A.

      Appendix Table A1Cox model for event-free survival (timed from diagnostic biopsy) for ‘registration cohort’ patients (N = 1531)—complete-case analysis with no imputed data.
      CharacteristicNEFS eventsAdjusted HR (95% CI)p-valueOverall p-value
      Pulmonary metastases
       No metastases
      includes possible metastases.
      13495161.00n/a<0.001
       Metastases1821242.39 (1.96–2.93)<0.001
      Non-pulmonary metastases
       No metastases
      includes possible metastases.
      14856091.00n/a<0.001
       Metastases46311.97 (1.35–2.88)<0.001
      Site of the tumour
       Other limb site12764991.00n/a<0.001
       Proximal femur/humerus1991051.42 (1.13–1.77)<0.001
       Axial skeleton56361.59 (1.12–2.28)0.010
      WHO classification of sarcoma at diagnosis
       Conventional: chondroblastic2521231.00n/a<0.001
       Conventional: osteoblastic9434030.89 (0.72–1.09)0.256
       Conventional: other235820.71 (0.54–0.95)0.021
       Telangiectatic74230.58 (0.37–0.91)0.017
       Small cell731.15 (0.36–3.65)0.811
       High-grade surface2060.56 (0.25–1.29)0.171
      Age
       Child4661721.00n/a0.004
       Adolescent7423231.29 (1.07–1.56)0.008
       Adult3231451.33 (1.06–1.66)0.015
      Gender
       Female6392511.00n/a0.015
       Male8923891.18 (1.01–1.39)0.043
      Relative tumour volume
      as reported with no imputed data.
       Small (<1/3 of involved bone)8513071.00n/a<0.001
       Large (≥1/3 of involved bone)6803331.35 (1.14–1.59)<0.001
      Pathological fracture at diagnosis
       No13435581.00n/a0.457
       Yes188821.00 (0.79–1.28)0.992
      Surgical margins achieved
      as reported by the pathologist. Note: 336 missing values on relative tumour volume not imputed (as shown in Table 3 in main text, for comparison).
       Wide/Radical12955321.00n/a0.019
       Marginal214941.02 (0.79–1.31)0.872
       Intralesional22141.41 (0.81–2.46)0.226
      CI, confidence interval; EFS, event-free survival; HR, hazard ratio; WHO, World Health Organisation.
      a includes possible metastases.
      b as reported with no imputed data.
      c as reported by the pathologist. Note: 336 missing values on relative tumour volume not imputed (as shown in Table 3 in main text, for comparison).
      Appendix Table A2Cox model for overall survival (timed from diagnostic biopsy) for ‘registration cohort’ patients (N = 1867).
      CharacteristicNOS eventsAdjusted HR (95% CI)p-valueOverall p-value
      Pulmonary metastases
       No metastases
      includes possible metastases.
      16333681.00n/a<0.001
       Metastases2341102.25 (1.80–2.82)<0.001
      Other metastases
       No metastases
      includes possible metastases.
      18094441.00n/a<0.001
       Metastases58342.79 (1.92–4.04)<0.001
      Site of the tumour
       Other limb site15623601.00n/a<0.001
       Proximal femur/humerus234861.67 (1.30–2.14)<0.001
       Axial skeleton71321.85 (1.25–2.72)0.002
      WHO classification of sarcoma at diagnosis
       Conventional: chondroblastic300871.00n/a0.012
       Conventional: osteoblastic11543140.91 (0.72–1.16)0.469
       Conventional: other293570.66 (0.47–0.93)0.016
       Telangiectatic86140.49 (0.28–0.87)0.015
       Small cell1041.47 (0.53–4.06)0.457
       High-grade surface2420.28 (0.07–1.14)0.076
      Age
       Child5571231.00n/a0.044
       Adolescent9212501.32 (1.06–1.65)0.014
       Adult3891051.27 (0.97–1.66)0.081
      Gender
       Female7611631.00n/a0.001
       Male11063151.40 (1.16–1.70)0.001
      Relative tumour volume
      336 missing values imputed.
       Small (<1/3 of involved bone)8511911.00n/a0.063
       Large (≥1/3 of involved bone)6802111.21 (0.99–1.49)0.063
      Pathological fracture at diagnosis
       No16454171.00n/a0.612
       Yes222611.08 (0.81–1.42)0.612
      Surgical margins achieved
      as reported by the pathologist.
       Wide/Radical15933941.00n/a0.036
       Marginal249700.93 (0.69–1.26)0.652
       Intralesional25142.00 (1.13–3.52)0.017
      CI, confidence interval; EFS, event-free survival; HR, hazard ratio; WHO, World Health Organisation.
      a includes possible metastases.
      b 336 missing values imputed.
      c as reported by the pathologist.
      Appendix Table A3Cox model for overall survival (timed from surgery) for ‘M0-CSR’ patients (N = 1395).
      CharacteristicNOS eventsAdjusted HR (95% CI)p-valueOverall p-value
      Site of the tumour
       Other limb site11752001.00n/a0.001
       Proximal femur/humerus
      166

      471.76 (1.25–2.48)0.001
       Axial skeleton54201.74 (1.06–2.85)0.027
      WHO classification of sarcoma at diagnosis
       Conventional: chondroblastic240591.00n/a0.141
       Conventional: osteoblastic8301590.90 (0.67–1.23)0.514
       Conventional: other230370.66 (0.43–1.01)0.054
       Telangiectatic6990.57 (0.27–1.19)0.136
       Small cell621.42 (0.34–5.83)0.629
       High-grade surface2010.18 (0.02–1.28)0.086
      Age
       Child409591.00n/a0.041
       Adolescent6891471.48 (1.09–2.01)0.012
       Adult297611.26 (0.87–1.84)0.217
      Gender
       Female586901.00n/a0.001
       Male8091771.52 (1.18–1.97)0.001
      Relative tumour volume
      240 missing values imputed.
       Small (<1/3 of the involved bone)6791161.00n/a0.185
       Large (≥1/3 of the involved bone)4761131.19 (0.92–1.55)0.185
      Pathological fracture at diagnosis
       No12352341.00n/a0.851
       Yes160331.04 (0.70–1.53)0.851
      Surgical margins achieved
      as reported by the pathologist.
       Wide/Radical12002181.00n/a0.073
       Marginal182431.13 (0.77–1.65)0.533
       Intralesional1362.73 (1.15–6.47)0.023
      Histological response
       Good (<10% viable tumour)724871.00n/a<0.001
       Poor (≥10% viable tumour)6711802.45 (1.88–3.20)<0.001
      CI, confidence interval; EFS, event-free survival; HR, hazard ratio; WHO, World Health Organisation.
      a 240 missing values imputed.
      b as reported by the pathologist.

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