Abstract
Background
Increases in incidence of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) in countries
with falling tobacco use have been attributed to a growing role of human papilloma
virus (HPV) in the carcinogenesis. Trends of HPV prevalence in populations with persistently
high portions of smokers are poorly characterised.
Patients and methods
Registry data from East Germany were used to determine incidence trends between 1998
and 2011. Data from patients treated at the Charité University Medicine Berlin between
2004 and 2013 (cohort 1, N = 436) were used for estimation of trends in HPV prevalence, smoking and survival. HPV
prevalence was prospectively confirmed in cohort 2 (N = 213) comprising all primary HNSCC cases at the Charité in 2013.
Results
Between 1998 and 2011 incidence of both OPSCC and non-OPSCC increased. An increase
in HPV prevalence (% of HPV+ cases in 2004–2006 versus 2012–2013: 27% versus 59%,
P = 0.0004) accompanied by a moderate decrease in the portion of current smokers was observed
in OPSCC but not in non-OPSCC. The change in disease epidemiology in OPSCC was associated
with significant improvement in overall survival. Increased HPV prevalence in OPSCC
(48%) compared to non-OPSCC (11%) was confirmed in cohort 2.
Conclusions
Despite clear differences to the United States in terms of tobacco use, the increase
in OPSCC incidence in a European population was also mainly attributed to HPV, and
the HPV status significantly affected prognosis. For clinical trial design it is important
to consider the large group of smokers within HPV-induced OPSCC.
Keywords
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Article info
Publication history
Published online: January 23, 2015
Accepted:
December 20,
2014
Received:
December 11,
2014
Identification
Copyright
© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.