Abstract
Cancer survival analyses based on cancer registry data do not provide direct information
on the main aim of cancer treatment, the cure of the patient. In fact, classic survival
indicators do not distinguish between patients who are cured, and patients who will
die of their disease and in whom prolongation of survival is the main objective of
treatment.
In this study, we applied parametric cure models to the cancer incidence and follow-up
data provided by 49 EUROCARE-4 (European Cancer Registry-based study, fourth edition)
cancer registries, with the aims of providing additional insights into the survival
of European cancer patients diagnosed from 1988 to 1999, and of investigating between-population
differences.
Between-country estimates the proportion of cured patients varied from about 4–13%
for lung cancer, from 9% to 30% for stomach cancer, from 25% to 49% for colon and
rectum cancer, and from 55% to 73% for breast cancer. For all cancers combined, estimates
varied between 21% and 47% in men, and 38% and 59% in women and were influenced by
the distribution of cases by cancer site. Countries with high proportions of cured
and long fatal case survival times for all cancers combined were characterised by
generally favourable case mix. For the European pool of cases both the proportion
of cured and the survival time of fatal cases were associated with age, and increased
from the early to the latest diagnosis period. The increases over time in the proportions
of Europeans estimated cured of lung, stomach and colon and rectum cancers are noteworthy
and suggest genuine progress in cancer control. The proportion of cured of all cancers
combined is a useful general indicator of cancer control as it reflects progress in
diagnosis and treatment, as well as success in the prevention of rapidly fatal cancers.
Keywords
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Article info
Publication history
Published online: January 09, 2009
Accepted:
November 10,
2008
Received in revised form:
October 24,
2008
Received:
June 23,
2008
Identification
Copyright
© 2008 Elsevier Ltd. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.